Ukraine eyes 500k more troops in war's second year
As the Ukraine war enters its second year, President Volodymyr Zelensky has revealed a proposal from his military to mobilise up to 500,000 additional troops.
This significant potential escalation comes amidst a stalled counteroffensive, dwindling ammunition stocks, and concerns about waning Western support.
"This is a highly sensitive issue requiring further analysis," Zelensky stated at a press conference in Kyiv on Tuesday. He acknowledged the "substantial number" of potential recruits and the considerable logistical and financial implications, indicating that 500,000 soldiers are already deployed on the front lines.
Stalled Offensive and Uncertain Aid Raise Mobilisation Concerns
Kyiv's counteroffensive, launched earlier this year, has stagnated as winter tightens its grip. Simultaneously, Ukraine has encountered hurdles in securing continued military and financial assistance from its Western allies.
- U.S. Impediments: Recent Republican opposition in Congress led to the first-ever blockage of a $60 billion military aid package, while the Biden administration acknowledges limited capacity for further significant aid without Congressional action.
- EU Snags: Hungary's surprise veto of the EU's €50 billion financial aid package last week cast doubt on Ukraine's economic lifeline. Despite EU leaders' assurances, the delay adds to the uncertainty.
Russia Vows Continuation, Acknowledging Internal Challenges
Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin reaffirmed his commitment to continuing the invasion, vowing to achieve all objectives. However, he also conceded internal challenges faced by the Russian military, including issues with air defence systems, communications, and drone production.
First Lady's Appeal Highlights Urgency
Olena Zelenska, Ukraine's First Lady, issued a stark plea in a recent BBC interview, stating Ukrainians face "existential peril" if Western support falters. The proposed mass mobilisation underscores the growing sense of urgency in Kyiv as the war nears its second year.
Uncertain Future as Both Sides Dig In
The proposed mobilisation, if implemented, would mark a significant escalation in the conflict. However, its feasibility and potential impact remain uncertain, contingent on factors such as Western support, Russia's internal challenges, and the course of the winter months. The coming weeks and months will be critical in determining the war's trajectory as both sides brace for a potentially protracted stalemate.
Translation by Iurie Tataru
